Jammu & Kashmir Monsoon Forecast: Rain, Humidity, and Flash Flood Risk from August 1 to 9, 2025

Jammu & Kashmir is set to experience classic monsoon weather through the first week of August 2025, with a combination of hot, humid conditions and scattered to moderate rainfall. As per prevailing patterns and meteorological advisories, the region will see a mix of sunshine, cloud cover, and frequent rain spells—posing potential risks of flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas.

Table of Contents

Daily Weather Outlook

August 1–3, 2025

Jammu Region:
Hot and humid days are expected, with daytime temperatures between 32–36°C and nights cooling to 24–27°C. Partly cloudy skies may give way to light to moderate rain showers, especially in Jammu city, Samba, and Kathua. Humidity will remain high, ranging from 70% to 85%.
Kashmir Valley:
Warm with cloudy intervals and occasional drizzle, particularly during evenings. Cities like Srinagar, Anantnag, and Baramulla may see intermittent rainfall. Temperatures are expected to stay around 28–32°C (day) and 18–22°C (night).
Ladakh:
Pleasant and mostly dry. Leh and Kargil will see daytime highs of 22–28°C, dropping to 8–12°C at night. Scattered clouds with a low chance of short-duration showers in higher altitudes.

August 4–6, 2025

Jammu Region:
Slight dip in temperatures (30–34°C) due to increasing cloud cover. Moderate showers with possible thunderstorms expected in districts like Udhampur, Reasi, and Ramban. Rain may cause temporary road blockages in hilly stretches.
Kashmir Valley:
Increased rainfall, particularly in southern and higher-altitude areas like Shopian, Kulgam, and Pahalgam. Daytime temperatures around 26–30°C. Possibility of waterlogging in Srinagar’s low-lying areas.
Ladakh:
Partly cloudy with brief rain in isolated pockets such as Nubra and Zanskar. Temperatures remain stable, though cold winds may make nights feel cooler in high-altitude zones.

August 7–9, 2025

Jammu Region:
Hot and humid again with temperatures bouncing back to 33–36°C. Afternoon thunderstorms and scattered rain showers are likely, with heavy rain predicted in Doda and Kishtwar.
Kashmir Valley:
On-and-off showers will persist with occasional sunshine. Gulmarg and Sonamarg may experience light rain, possibly affecting trekking and tourist movement. Daytime temperatures steady between 27–31°C.
Ladakh:
Predominantly dry. Clear to partly cloudy skies in most areas, with mild winds expected in Pangong and Changthang. Day temperatures range from 23–29°C.

Important Notes

Rain & Flood Risk:
Active monsoon conditions are enhancing rainfall across the Pir Panjal and Zojila ranges. Hilly districts should remain alert for flash floods, landslides, and mudslides.
Humidity & Health:
High humidity (up to 90% in Jammu plains) may cause discomfort and increased heat stress. Residents are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor exertion during peak hours.
Travel Advisory:
Pilgrims and tourists on the Vaishno Devi and Amarnath Yatra routes should stay updated on landslide risks and local weather bulletins. Carry rain gear and confirm road conditions before travel.
Agricultural Advisory:
Farmers are advised to ensure adequate drainage in fields and avoid over-irrigation. Paddy, maize, and vegetable crops could be affected in case of water stagnation.

Disclaimer: This forecast is based on seasonal trends and early advisories. For real-time updates, consult the India Meteorological Department (IMD) or trusted weather apps.

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